Tuesday, July 3, 2012

All Stars According to WAR

Each year I take a look at who actually deserves to be an All Star based on the stat that in my opinion captures a player's worth to his own franchise. The voted in starters will be put in parentheses next to the player's name that deserves to be playing. We shall look at who should be playing in Kansas City next week.

American League
Starters
C: Joe Mauer 2.6 WAR (Mike Napoli 1.1)
1B: Edwin Encarnacion 2.5 WAR (Prince Fielder 1.4)
2B: Robinson Cano 4.1 WAR (Cano)
3B: Miguel Cabrera 2.9 WAR (Adrian Beltre 2.7)
SS: Elvis Andrus 2.9 WAR (Derek Jeter 1.0)
OF: Mike Trout 4.3 WAR (Curtis Granderson 1.4)
OF: Josh Hamilton 3.6 WAR (Hamilton)
OF: Austin Jackson 3.5 WAR (Jose Bautista 3.1)
DH: David Ortiz 2.3 WAR (Ortiz)

Reserves
C: A.J. Pierzynski 2.2 WAR
C: Matt Wieters 2.0 WAR
SS: Asdrubal Cabrera 2.2 WAR
SS: Mike Aviles 2.0 WAR
3B: Mike Moustakas 2.8 WAR
3B: Brett Lawrie 2.8 WAR
2B: Jason Kipnis 2.4 WAR
1B: Paul Konerko 2.2 WAR
OF: Adam Jones 3.3 WAR
OF: Josh Reddick 3.2 WAR
OF: Alex Gordon 3.1 WAR
DH: Adam Dunn 1.4 WAR

SP: Justin Verlander 3.6 WAR
SP: Chris Sale 3.2 WAR
SP: Jake Peavy 2.8 WAR
SP: CC Sabathia 2.8 WAR
SP: Felix Hernandez 2.6 WAR
SP: Matt Harrison 2.5 WAR
SP: Jason Hammel 2.5 WAR
SP: Jered Weaver 2.3 WAR
RP: Joe Nathan 1.3 WAR
RP: Fernando Rodney 1.3 WAR
RP: Chris Perez 1.0 WAR
RP: Tom Wilhelmsen 1.0 WAR
RP: Scott Atchinson 1.0 WAR

In Total: 3 of the actual starters deserve to start based on WAR. 13 players that aren't All Stars deserve to be All Stars based on WAR.

National League
Starters
C: Carlos Ruiz 4.0 WAR (Buster Posey 2.3)
1B: Joey Votto 4.8 WAR (Votto)
2B: Aaron Hill 2.8 WAR (Dan Uggla 2.4)
3B: David Wright 4.5 WAR (Pablo Sandoval 1.0)
SS: Ian Desmond 2.7 WAR (Rafael Furcal 1.4)
OF: Michael Bourn 4.0 WAR (Melky Cabrera 3.1)
OF: Ryan Braun 3.9 WAR (Carlos Beltran 2.8)
OF: Andrew McCutchen 3.8 WAR (Matt Kemp 2.4)

Reserves
C: Yadier Molina 3.3 WAR
C: AJ Ellis 2.8 WAR
1B: Paul Goldschmidt 2.1 WAR
2B: Dan Uggla 2.4 WAR
SS: Jed Lowrie 2.4 WAR
SS: Starlin Castro 2.0 WAR
3B: Chase Headley 3.4 WAR
OF: Martin Prado 3.6 WAR
OF: Jason Heyward 3.3 WAR
OF: Melky Cabrera 3.1 WAR
OF: Giancarlo Stanton 3.1 WAR
OF: Matt Holliday 3.0 WAR
OF: Carlos Beltran 2.8 WAR

SP: Zack Greinke 3.5 WAR
SP: Stephen Strasburg 3.2 WAR
SP: Gio Gonzalez 2.9 WAR
SP: RA Dickey 2.9 WAR
SP: Matt Cain 2.8 WAR
SP: Johnny Cueto 2.6 WAR
SP: Josh Johnson 2.4 WAR
SP: Clayton Kershaw 2.4 WAR
RP: Aroldis Chapman 1.6 WAR
RP: Craig Kimbrel 1.5 WAR
RP: Matt Belisle 1.3 WAR
RP: Tyler Clippard 1.2 WAR
RP: Rex Brothers 1.0 WAR
In Total: Only 1 of the actual starters deserve to start based on WAR. 16 players that aren't All Stars deserve to be All Stars based on WAR.

In conclusion, fan voting should not be used to decide who is an All Star and who is not. Players such as Zack Greinke and Austin Jackson are having great seasons and deserve to be a part in the All Star Festivities. Greinke has the highest WAR of any pitcher in the National League! Thank you for reading and enjoy your July 4th and Midsummer Classic.

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